First Study on First Debate Impact Shows No Change in the Presidential Race

 How about this headline that actually matches what we find in the text that follows:  No change: Evaluating the short-term impact of the first presidential debate on voter preferences

Here is a brief clip from the new research:

The predominant pattern we see in the data is stability in voters’ preferences.Overall, 94% of those who chose Biden and 86% of those who chose Trump in our May survey still preferred the same candidate after the debate. There was a small rate of change from Biden to Trump or vice versa –less than 3% shifted in either direction. We observed more churn between those who favored either Biden or Trump and the “Other” category. About 4% of Biden’s and 6% of Trump’s supporters in the earlier wave shifted to “Other” post-debate. At the same time, 6% of “Other” shifted to Biden, and another 6% shifted to Trump.  

Will this research be reported on or even acknowledged by the New York Times?